Interesting article that begs for a HA implementation…
https://covid-19calculator.com/en/
Any interested developers out there?
Interesting theory. Fits good to the numbers we get from Italy in comparison to countries more northern in Europe… 
But what would you like to do this calculator in HA?
Maybe use darksky to pull in local data and spit out the calculated number, ideally projected on the scale / graph as per link above…
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