The Future of the Bayesian Integration - Thoughts wanted

[HarvsG]

@2jan

I envision the ability to plot the posterior probability and threshold over time along with all the observations state changes.

I think this is a good idea. I think the best way would be to turn each Bayesian configuration into a ‘device’ and then both the on/off state and the probability can be entities. Although I’m not sure if the HA team approve of virtual objects being devices in their own right, so we may need to find another solution, like this Add helper - Attribute as Sensor by gjohansson-ST · Pull Request #79835 · home-assistant/core · GitHub

plot the posterior probability and threshold over time along with all the observations state changes

This would be cool, but hard to achieve, I’m not sure of any integrations that allow the overlaying of events on a history plot. That being said, if you open up a Bayesian sensor then under the state history it will show a logbook of events that changed the state.

but tuning it is a bit hard (and almost always necessary)

Have a go with this spreadsheet (would obviously be great to not need the spreadsheet

Bayesian Tester

PS! another small thing… would it be possible to fix home assistant to not round posterior probability to 0 and 1?

I’ll take a look at this and why it happens. Probably just rounding once it gets past 0.999